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May 21st

Potential Sea-Level Rise Reevaluated | The Resilient Earth: When can we expect this ocean onslaught? Quoting commentary by Erik R Ivins, from the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, regarding the Science paper: ?The time scale of the fully manifested instability cannot currently be predicted. Better predictions require both better in situ data and space monitoring coupled to a fully three-dimensio nal high-resolutio n (< 1 km) computational model.? As usual, there are no hard and fast predictions and the models need to be improved. Professor Jonathan Bamber at Bristol University, lead author of the study, said: ?There's a vast body of research that's looked at the likelihood of a WAIS collapse and what implications such a catastrophic event would have for the globe. Yet all of these studies have assumed a five- to-six-metre contribution to sea level rise. Our calculation shows those estimates are much too large, even on a thousand year timescale.? So it looks like New York and San Francisco are safe for now.

December 15th

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